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consumption function:
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consumer spending is a function of disposable income
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dissavings
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when consumer spending is greater than disposable income
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you can go into dissavings in two ways:
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dipping into past savings or borrowing
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Break even level of disposable income:
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when there are no savings or no dissavings; people spend what they have
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APC: average propensity to consume:
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consumer spending over disposable income; what fraction of your disposable income do you spend
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APS: average propensity to save:
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savings over disposable income: what fraction of your disposable income that you save
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MPC: marginal propensity to consume:
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change in consumer spending divided by the change in disposable income
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MPS: marginal propensity of saving:
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how much you're able to save
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the reason MPC and MPS is more important is because...
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the government has more money to spread into the economy and if they put the money into the hands of people with the highest MPC (poor people who will spend it quickly) so the money will circulate back into the economy
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What's the most important thing that decides what consumer spending will be:
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disposable income
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Wealth
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how much you have accumulated
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Wealth effect:
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the wealthier you feel, the more you tend to spend
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Borrowing + real interest rate:
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the lower the real interest rate is, the easier it is to borrow (people get suckered into buying a car with the grandeur of 0.0% interest rate)
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Non-income determinants of consumption:
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-Wealth (effect)
-Borrowing
-Expectations
-Taxes
-Stability (how stable is the country and environment)
-Borrowing
-Expectations
-Taxes
-Stability (how stable is the country and environment)
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Paradox of thrift:
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the more people try to save money, the less people in general will be able to save money (if people aren't spending, people are going to get fired and won't be able to save, even if they wanted to)
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Reverse wealth effect:
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if you're holding onto something and it decreases in value, you're less likely to spend (an example is stock)
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Investment spending:
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what businesses spend on new capital goods
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Investment spending, conceptually, is...
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a function of the expected rate of return the businesses want to make on their project (r)
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Determinants of investment spending:
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-Acquisition maintenance + operating costs (if these go up, investment spending goes down)
-Business taxes (cut investments because its money businesses can't spend on capital goods)
-Expectations
-Stock of capital goods on hand
-Technology changes (if technology advances, businesses have to spend more money to buy)
-Planned inventory changes
-Business taxes (cut investments because its money businesses can't spend on capital goods)
-Expectations
-Stock of capital goods on hand
-Technology changes (if technology advances, businesses have to spend more money to buy)
-Planned inventory changes
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What Is the main thing that causes the ups and downs in a business cycle?
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consumer spending + investment spending + government spending + net exports (what foreigners buy)
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Investment spending changes the most...
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from one period to the next
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Why investment spending so unpredictable:
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-Big ticket, all-or-nothing capital items
-Durability
-Variable expectations
-Irregular innovation
-Variable profits
-Durability
-Variable expectations
-Irregular innovation
-Variable profits
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Multiplier effect:
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any change in spending (consumer, investment, government and net exports) causes a greater change in output/income
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Formula:
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initial change in spending x multiplier
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Why is actual multiplier lower than predicted
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Leakages: savings, taxes, imports
Full strength vs less than full strength multiplier
Full strength vs less than full strength multiplier
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Equilibrium:
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when total output or total supply is equal to total spending demand (we only worry about consumer and investment spending)
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If spending is greater than output...
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then output is gonna be pulled up
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Is spending is less than output,
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then producers are going to cut back and produce less
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Retaliation:
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if we do something bad to another country, they'll come back with something worse
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Recessionary gap:
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the fact that the economy come to rest somewhere below the full employment level and the recessionary gap is the difference between a resting economy and GDP
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Inflationary gap:
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when you're at equilibrium AND you're at full employment so spending goes up
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Classical economists theorized:
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Wage price flexibility
Full employment is the normal situation
Say's law's supply creates its own demand
Full employment is the normal situation
Say's law's supply creates its own demand