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labor force
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part of population over 16, not in military, not institutionalized, and have not chosen to op out of work force
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two components of labor force
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people who are working, and those looking for work without a job
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unemployed
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not working, but seeking work
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unemployment rate
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[(# of unemployed)/(# in the labor force)] *100
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frictional unemployment
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unemployment due to the natural frictions of the economy (represented by qualified individuals with transferable skills who change jobs) (job search services etc)
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structural unemployment
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unemployment due to structural changes in the economy that eliminates some jobs and creates others for which the unemployed are unqualified (training, education, etc)
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seasonal unemployment
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unemployment due to seasonal trends
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cyclical unemployment
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unemployment due to contractions in the economy (stabilization (monetary/fiscal) policies)
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low unemployment goal
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natural rate of unemployment only causes by frictional and structural factors
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full employment
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exists when the unemployment rate is equal to the natural unemployment rate
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percentage in labor force formula
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[(# of people in the labor force)/(total adult population)]*100
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percentage out of the labor force
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[(# of people out of labor force)/(total adult population]*100
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underemployed
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This includes those that are trained or skilled for one type or level of work who are working in a lower paying job or one that does not utilize their skills
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Discouraged workers
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those who have stopped looking for employment and, hence, are no longer counted in the unemployed also fall into this group
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labor force participation rate
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This is the percentage of adults in an economy who are
either employed or who are unemployed and looking for a job
either employed or who are unemployed and looking for a job
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implicit contract
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which is that the employer will try to keep wages from falling when the economy is weak or the business is having trouble, and the employee will not expect huge salary increases when the economy or the business is strong
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Efficiency wage theory
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argues that the productivity of workers depends on their pay, and so employers will often find it
worthwhile to pay their employees somewhat more than market conditions might dictate
worthwhile to pay their employees somewhat more than market conditions might dictate
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adverse selection of wage cuts
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argument points out that if an employer reacts to poor business conditions by reducing wages for all workers, then the best workers, those with the best employment alternatives at other firms, are the most likely to leave
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insider-outsider model of the labor force
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in simple terms, argues that those already working for firms are "insiders," while new employees, at least for a time, are "outsiders."
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relative wage coordination argument
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points out that even if most workers were hypothetically willing to see a decline in their own wages in bad economic times as long as everyone else also experiences such a decline, there is no obvious way for a decentralized economy to implement such a plan
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Okun's law
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described the consistent relationship between changes in output and changes in unemployment that has become a standard tool for monetary policymakers and forecasters
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Okun's law continued
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2% drop in inflation-adjusted GDP growth relative to trend is associated with about a 1 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate
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Okun's law change in unemployment rate
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-½ (Actual GDP growth - 3%)
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to keep unemployment rate from increasing, actual gdp must grow at
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3% a year
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to lower unemployment by 1% actual gdp must grow by
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5%
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Real W
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Nominal W/P
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What determines output in the classical model?
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Amount of capital, labor and resources
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what determines unemployment?
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Frictional and structural, NO cyclical
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what causes inflation?
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Too rapid growth in the money supply
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what are the determinants of real interest rates?
answer
Supply and Demand for loan-able funds
(Savings and Investment)
(Savings and Investment)
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what determines saving and consumption?
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Real interest rates (since savings=f(real interest rate) and C=Y-S)
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what determines investment?
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Real interest rates; loanable funds model
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How does fiscal policy work?
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It doesn't - no need for it since economy is 'self-adjusting'
in the long-run and always tends towards full employment and ineffective because an
increase in G (or reduction in T) completely crowds out investment - only impact is to
slow growth
in the long-run and always tends towards full employment and ineffective because an
increase in G (or reduction in T) completely crowds out investment - only impact is to
slow growth
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How does monetary policy work?
answer
Ms-> D->P i.e. only affects the price level and
nominal (non-real) variables. Alternatively MV=PY so with Y at full employment and V constant for institutional reasons M->P ONLY
nominal (non-real) variables. Alternatively MV=PY so with Y at full employment and V constant for institutional reasons M->P ONLY
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How does money "matter' (affect the economy) in the long-run?
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Ms->P ONLY - classical dichotomy
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How does the Fed matter?
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In the LR, primary focus on controlling inflation